Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#313
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.5#326
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#287
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 n/a
.500 or above 18.8% 37.4% 14.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.8% 52.8% 34.6%
Conference Champion 3.8% 6.8% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 8.1% 18.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Away) - 17.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.30.0 - 1.3
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.20.0 - 2.5
Quad 20.1 - 2.00.2 - 4.5
Quad 31.0 - 4.81.1 - 9.3
Quad 49.6 - 9.010.7 - 18.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 193   @ Hartford L 64-71 17%    
  Nov 10, 2018 69   @ Georgetown L 63-80 4%    
  Nov 13, 2018 306   Umass Lowell L 73-74 60%    
  Nov 16, 2018 188   Austin Peay L 66-74 25%    
  Nov 18, 2018 352   Florida A&M W 71-62 79%    
  Nov 21, 2018 165   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-74 15%    
  Nov 29, 2018 347   @ N.C. A&T W 72-66 61%    
  Dec 01, 2018 20   @ Virginia Tech L 61-83 1%    
  Dec 16, 2018 47   @ Providence L 58-77 3%    
  Dec 22, 2018 327   @ Maine W 70-68 47%    
  Dec 29, 2018 82   @ Oregon St. L 59-74 7%    
  Jan 03, 2019 215   Wagner L 63-69 40%    
  Jan 05, 2019 324   @ Sacred Heart W 68-67 44%    
  Jan 10, 2019 252   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 70-74 30%    
  Jan 12, 2019 331   @ Mount St. Mary's W 66-63 49%    
  Jan 19, 2019 160   St. Francis (PA) L 66-75 31%    
  Jan 21, 2019 233   Robert Morris L 64-69 44%    
  Jan 24, 2019 315   @ Bryant W 73-72 41%    
  Jan 26, 2019 225   LIU Brooklyn L 70-75 44%    
  Jan 31, 2019 318   St. Francis Brooklyn W 70-69 61%    
  Feb 02, 2019 315   Bryant W 73-72 61%    
  Feb 07, 2019 160   @ St. Francis (PA) L 66-75 16%    
  Feb 09, 2019 233   @ Robert Morris L 64-69 27%    
  Feb 14, 2019 215   @ Wagner L 63-69 24%    
  Feb 16, 2019 318   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 70-69 41%    
  Feb 21, 2019 331   Mount St. Mary's W 66-63 67%    
  Feb 23, 2019 324   Sacred Heart W 68-67 63%    
  Feb 28, 2019 225   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-75 25%    
  Mar 02, 2019 252   Fairleigh Dickinson L 70-74 47%    
Projected Record 10.7 - 18.3 7.6 - 10.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 4.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.6 5.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.3 5.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.2 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.4 1.4 2.6 3.4 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.9 10th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.8 7.9 9.6 11.1 11.5 11.3 10.1 8.9 7.1 4.6 3.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 75.2% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 50.3% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
13-5 25.4% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.3% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 31.8% 31.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 31.8%
17-1 0.2% 0.2
16-2 0.5% 0.5
15-3 1.2% 1.2
14-4 2.0% 2.0
13-5 3.2% 3.2
12-6 4.6% 4.6
11-7 7.1% 7.1
10-8 8.9% 8.9
9-9 10.1% 10.1
8-10 11.3% 11.3
7-11 11.5% 11.5
6-12 11.1% 11.1
5-13 9.6% 9.6
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 5.8% 5.8
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%